Brandon Funston’s Big Board: Rookie running backs on the rise (2024)

CAR

RB

Was just 3rd RB in past decade to reach 400 touches, helping propel him to 2nd-best PPR season by RB in NFL history

NYG

RB

If anyone can threaten CMC's 400-touch, 1000-rush yard, 1,000 rec. yard 2019 levels, it's Saquon, who has a new OC in J. Garrett who afforded E. Elliott elite volume in DAL

NO

RB

Top 4 RB in each of 1st 2 NFL seasons before health and loss of QB Brees for 5 games helped sink him to RB No. 9 in '19 - give him a mulligan

DAL

RB

Perhaps nobody has a higher fantasy floor than EZE, who has the most games of 10+ FAN PTS since 2016 (53, out of a total of 56 games played)

NO

WR

Has 70 more catches, 116 more receiving yards than any other player in NFL history thru their first 4 seasons

LV

RB

No. 13 RB in FAN PPG as rookie despite playing half his games with a shoulder fracture - an elite talent that should see a sizable bump in the passing game

TEN

RB

75+ rush yards in 18 of past 22 games (playoffs inc.) - led NFL in Yards Created (yards gain after 1st evaded tackle) and Yards After Contact/Attempt in 2019

MIN

RB

Initial holdout threat seems to have lost some teeth and I'm sensing that he won't sit out - likely to move to No. 5 among my RBs when that feels more like a lock

ATL

WR

With all the vacated targets from last season's ATL offense, NOLA's M. Thomas might be the only WR in 2020 to hold a candle to Jones' target volume

GB

WR

Could also push for NFL target lead - turf toe led to 4 DNPs, 1st sub-10 TD effort (5) since 2015, but 2020 Alpha status cemented with 4 TDs, 122 YPG in final 5 games (inc. playoffs)

CIN

RB

Mixon has 2 of the 3 things that make a fantasy star - volume and talent. What's he been missing is a ripe environment and the hope is rookie QB Burrow can fix that

CLE

RB

Was not an RB1 with K. Hunt in the backfield mix in 2019, but new HC Stefanski is as run-heavy as they come and that should help him get back in the RB1 mix

ARI

WR

Has averaged more than 100 catches the past 5 seasons and moves into the go-to role in Cards' pass-friendly attack - should be at least business as usual in ARI

KC

RB

With D. Williams opting out, CEH's workload concerns fade considerably, but he's more likely to be great because of Ekeler-like efficiency than substantial volume

KC

WR

41 TDs over past 4 seasons is tops among WRs, and has 4th-most FAN PTS thru 1st 59 games of career among WRs over the past 20 years

PHI

RB

Was Top 12 fantasy RB from Weeks 11-17 with workload volume (18.6 touches per) that should carry over as lead RB in 2020

ARI

RB

Enticing if he can finally put a full season of bell-cow work in the books as ARI RBs ranked 3rd in FAN PTS per Touch in 2019, with Drake contributing elite stretch-run numbers

GB

RB

Was No. 2 RB in FAN PTS, and advanced metrics supported his effort, but you have to factor in negative TD regression after 19 trips to the end zone in 2019

DET

WR

No. 5 WR in FAN PTS despite 8 DNPs from QB Stafford - elite vertical threat tied NFL lead with 16 catches of 20+ air yards - also No.1 with 6 TD catches inside 10 yards

SEA

RB

96.9 YPG over past 2 seasons ranks 8th-best among RBs in that span, and he's also chipped in 9 TDs in each campaign - expected to be fully recovered from hip injury by Week 1

LAC

RB

Averaged better than 1.0 FAN PTS/TOUCH in Half PPR formats each of his 3 seasons, and if he can maintain that with a QB change in 2020, another RB Top 10 finish likely

TB

WR

PFF's 2nd-highest graded WR in 2019, but the Winston circus sideshow has left town - Brady, Gronk and winning could be elements that lead to more conservative play

TB

WR

QB Brady is still throwing a decent deep ball, which should help one of NFL's premier power forward receiving targets top 1,000 yards for a 7th straight season

KC

TE

Has finished as No. 1 TE in FAN PTS 4 straight seasons, is tied to perhaps the NFL's top offense and has shown no signs of slowing down

KC

QB

With sky-high confidence, perfect seasoning and explosive weapons galore, a healthy Mahomes is set for another epic season - I'll take the over on 40 TD passes, 5k pass yards

BAL

QB

Produced greatest FAN PPG season by a QB in NFL history - could have thrown 10 less TD passes, rushed for 500 fewer yards yet still finished No. 1 QB in FAN PPG

SF

TE

Played TE Kelce even in FAN PPG (12.9) in 2019 despite battling thru injuries - in prime age 26/27 season, with WR Samuel out to open 2020, has good shot to best Kelce

CHI

WR

Was the lipstick on Bears' piggish offense in 2019 with Top 10 WR finish in FAN PTS - sounds crazy, but Foles arguably best passing QB he's ever been paired with

JAC

RB

Biggest concern is not whether he'll see positive TD regression or take a major receptions hit with C. Thompson around, it's if JAX remains committed to him if/when losses pile up

PIT

RB

7th among RBs in FAN PPG over past 2 seasons (better than Cook, Henry, Mixon, to name a few), but in a prove-it season health wise - figure he's playing for his future in PIT

BAL

RB

Seeing him go mid-20s at RB in many drafts, which is silly - BAL offense is a juggernaut and Ingram likely to see 220+ touches and lucrative goal line work yet again

CLE

WR

Flashed occasional vintage play-making skills in 2019 despite playing through sports hernia - at 27, with health restored, expect a big rebound, especially if WR Landry misses time

LAR

WR

7th among WRs in FAN PPG over past 2 seasons (min. 24 games) - led NFL in slot yards, and I'm just not buying that goes away significantly so LAR can run 12 personnel

PIT

WR

Backend WR2 production thru Week 8 with QB Rudolph, but injuries (to JuJu, Rudolph) derailed 2nd half - Big Ben's return should help restore JuJu to WR Top 15

MIN

WR

Could push lofty 10 targets per game with WR Diggs out of the picture and new OC Kubiak likely to throw more often than old OC Stefanski did

ATL

RB

Given arthritic knees, a Gurley draft pick comes with restless sleep - but new offense and workload upside ripe with the kind of upside potential he enjoyed in LA

LAR

RB

My bet for rookie RB to see most touches - skills to be a featured back (with a little pass game improvement), and team clearly lacks confidence in D. Henderson in that role

DEN

RB

Your ranking may very depending on how much you think P. Lindsay will eat into Gordon's workload, the money is on the former Charger seizing a sizable advantage

DEN

WR

4th at WR in end zone targets (14), 1st in TeamAirYards% and NFL-high 8 Defensive PI penalties drawn for 150 yards speaks to the nightmare matchup he is

NYJ

RB

Volume remains elite, but it's going to take a leap of faith that improvements to the NYJ O-line and Bell's conditioning will catapult him back into the RB1 class

LAR

WR

Became 1 of just 5 WRs in NFL history to catch 90 passes with 2 TD catches or less in 2019 - heavy target share, plus TD regression offers backend WR1 upside

CAR

WR

New QB Bridgewater won't accentuate Moore's verticals skills, but he should be heavily targeted, allowing him to put his ample Yards After Catch skills to work

DAL

WR

Can be a frustrating week-to-week rollercoaster ride but his 13.5 Half PPF FAN PPG mark in 25 regular-season games in DAL is Top 12 level production at WR

BUF

RB

4th in Breakaway% (runs of 15+ yards) - Rookie Moss likely to take F. Gore's role but Singletary should push 250 touches while making strides in the pass game

JAC

WR

After SPARQ monster's 2019 breakout, now owns the go-to role in the JAC passing game, which offers more promise under new OC Jay Gruden

HOU

RB

If his health holds, his share of the HOU backfield workload should be major, but his potential in the passing game far outweighs his ground game at this point in career

SF

RB

Trade demands produced desired results of getting paid more money - should now be headed for a Touch/PG boost in lucrative SF backfield in 2020

IND

RB

1 of 7 RBs of 220+ pounds to run a sub-4.4 40 at the NFL Combine in past 20 years - may take awhile to overtake Mack in touches but I'll bet he gets there

WAS

WR

Advanced metrics darling and near-backend WR2 producer as rookie was PFF's 6th-highest grade WR in 2019 despite ugly QB combo of Keenum, McCoy, Haskins

BAL

TE

No. 3 TE in FAN PPG in 2019, and leader at position in end zone targets (12), has seen his ceiling raised by H. Hurst, and his 39 targets, shuffling off to ATL

Brandon Funston’s Big Board: Rookie running backs on the rise (2024)
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